Year: 2021 | Month: September | Volume 66 | Issue 3

Estimation of Growth Rates and Decomposition Analysis of Major Fruit Crops in Punjab, India

Gurpreet Singh Amit Guleria Rajjit Singh Brar
DOI:10.46852/0424-2513.3.2021.8

Abstract:

Horticulture has been increasingly significant in supplying key elements to Punjabis’ diets. From 2010-11 to 2018-2019, the study examines the trends and variations in area, production, and yield of fruit crops in Punjab. The state’s trends in fruit area, production, and yield tend to be good for key fruits (citrus, mango, guava, and pear) in practically all areas. The decline in production of guava during the year 2016-17 and in production of pear during the year 2015-16 & 2016-17 was due to downward growth in area in during these years. Results of Cuddy-Della Valle Index indicates that fluctuations in production of major fruits i.e. constantly increasing over time (from 2010-2019); however, instability in their area mounted and reached to the highest levels for guava, mango and pear again in 2017-18 and 2018-19. While, disparity in pear production were the highest in 2015-16 followed by 2016-17. On the basis of growth rate data these can be ascribed to expansion in area to a great extent and remarkably in productivity improvement. During the study period, fruit production differs due to area in guava and pear, though productivity is not changed greatly. The results of decomposition analysis specify comparably intense stimulus of area expansion in production of guava and pear. Due to the scarcity of agricultural land, there are few opportunities to expand the area of fruit crops. As a result, improvements in fruit crop output levels are essential to maintain healthy growth in fruit output.

Highlights

  • The trends of growth in area, production and yield of fruits in the state appears to be positive behavior for major fruits.
  • During the research period, the state’s fruit output was aided by increased area and improved yields.
  • Based on the findings, it is determined that the chances of expanding the area of fruit crops are limited due to the scarcity of agricultural land. As a result, improvements in fruit crop output levels are essential to maintain healthy growth in fruit output.




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